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Short Essay Theses |
Thinkers, Theories and Concepts |
Thinkers, Theories, and
Concepts |
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6.
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Some scientific posits are of things
that can never be observed, which are inherently observable.
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Posits of inherent unobservable
is never scientifically warranted.
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We are warranted in believing the
unobservables posited by the best explanatory scientic theories really
exist."
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Science progresses toward "an absolute
conception of the world i.e., of the world as it is in itself independently
of any particular mode of perceiving to which all particular modes of perceiving
could be related" (133)
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Probably, no coherent grand theory
of absolutely everything can be constructed.
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Shröedinger's Cat: Riddle
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determinacy of macroscopic events
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v. quantum indeterminacy
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proposed solutions
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consciousness collapses the wave
packet
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Copenhagen
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hidden variable
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many worlds
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Einstein: "God doesn't play dice
with the universe."
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Positivism
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testability
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empiricism
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Humeanism
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anti-essentialism
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instrumentalism
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mistrust of metaphysics
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Manifold Image
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Scientific Image
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Empirical adequacy
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Unity of Science
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7.
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Though "probablistic theories can
be regarded as both empirically significant and empirically testable" still
"there is a sense in which they are less than fully explanatory" (148)
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Explanations invoking "probalistic
causes . . . are incomplete ways of describing fully determinate situations"
(151).
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Probabalistic explanations "do
not give a full explanation of individual events." (153)
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"A statement of probability does
not reflect anything `rational or positive or metaphysica'l in the world;
it is merely a psychological device which we use when we are ignorant of
the facts of the situation." (160)
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"[W]hen we talk about the probability
of events in the physical world, we are not fundamentally talking about
the degree of support some evidence gives to a hypothesis" (161).
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The probability of a single event
is the " `measure of an objective propensity"" or "`tendency inherent
in the specific situation to realize the event . . . to make it happen'"
(170).
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Mathematical theory of probability
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1 = certainty or necessity
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0 = certainty or necessity not
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intermediate values >0 and <1
represent degrees of probability
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Multiplication theorem:
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p = p(a) * p(b,a)
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If a and b are independent events:
p(a & b) = p(a)*p(b)
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Addition theorem: if a and b are
mutually exclusive events
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Carnap
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state description
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logical theory of probablity
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Popper: propensity theory of probability
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Relative frequency theory of probability
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Bernoulli: Law of large numbers.
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Determinism
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Indeterminacy
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Quantum indeterminacy
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Metaphysical Indeterminacy: ObjectiveTheories
of Probability
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Epistemic Indeterminacy: Subjective
Theories of Probability
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Laplace
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Laplace's Demon
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Classical (a priori) theory of
probability
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Donald Davidson: Probablistic laws
are temporary "explanatory" expedients until we discover the true strict
causal laws.
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8.
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Scientific reductionS "lead to
what naturally might be thought of as theories of greater depth" (177).
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"[A] reductionist program can fail
without being a failiure." (179)
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"Even if we reject the idea that
they biological, say, can be reduced to the physical . . . it is still
the case that biological organisms are made up of particles of matter and
to that extent are subject to normal physical processes." (178)
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"There have been hardly any completely
successful major reductions in science" (180).
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"Reducing the terms of one level
of explantion to [extensionally equivalent terms] of another is not . .
. sufficient for a successful scientific reduction." (188)
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Those who say this [`there is something
. . . which transcends physics'] about consciousness, or life, or the creation
of helium would certainly not want what they say to be regarded as analogous
to the example of round holes and square pegs.
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Either consciousness or life, or
both, is emergent.
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Human ability to add and perform
other mentalistic tasks cannot be explained in purely physical terms. (193)
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Either sensations or propositional
attitudes or both are scientifically irreducible.
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Unity of Science is surely an unobainable
ideal, and probably and undesirable one as well.
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Unity of Science
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Physicalism/Materialism
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Atomism
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Logicism
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Goedel: Incompleteness of Arithmetic
& Logic
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Russell: Set theoretic paradoxes
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Pythagorus
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pythagoreanism
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incommensurability of the diagonal
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Newton
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atomic theory of matter
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affirmed the absolute existence
of space & the consequent possibility of unoccupied space (a vacuum)
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reduction of Kepler's laws of plantetary
motion
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reduction of Gallileo's laws of
terrestrial motion
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to a single account citing
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three laws of motion
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low of universal gravitation
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Descartes: Cartesian Mechanics
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Dualism
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Nonatomic theory of matter continuous
extended stuff
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Denial of absolute existence of
space, or the possiblity of unoccupied space (a vacuum)
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Einstein's proposal: it all reduces
to
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gravitational forces, which constitute
"space"
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electromagnetic forces, which constitute
"matter"
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Bohm: quantum theory of atomic
structure
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Emergent
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Vitalism
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property dualism
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definitional identities
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extensional equivalence
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Thomas Nagel: classical model of
reduction
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derivation of higher level laws
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from lower level laws
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plus "bridge laws" correlating
higher & lower level elements
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multiple realization
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supervenience
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overdetermination
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epiphenomenalism & interactionism
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cognition
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propositional attitudes
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intentionality
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sensations
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9..
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The social sciences should emulate
the hard sciences in pursuit of prediction and control of social and psychological
phenomena based on quantitatively precise measurements and mathematically
expressible causal laws.
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Philosophy of science is nothing
but the anthropological study of scientific institutions and research communities.
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Science can give us positive knowledge.
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The light of positive scientific
knowledge replaces the darkness of mythical and religious speculation --
and will ultimately totally replace it -- as science marches on.
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"Science itself has become a mythology,
perhaps the prevailing mythology of our time." (203)
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Eliminativism is self-refuting.
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"Science and science alone gives
access to the ultimate truth about man and the world." (204)
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"[S]cience and scientific method
(and they alone) can provide us with complete and satisfactory explanation
of all phenomena." (206)
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Science can only tell us what is
the case, not what ought to be: science is a "value-free" morally
neutral enterprise.
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If "the actual reason I uttered
the sounds `F=ma' on a given occasion was because of the causal effects
of certain impulses in my brain" (209) then my utterance would be without
meaning and import."
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Emphasis of science as a cultural
product/institution
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positivisitic de-emphasis
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post-Kuhnian re-emphasis
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scientism
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critique of "scientism"
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method-drive vs. data-driven inquiry
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peculiarities of social/psychological
phenomena make hard scientific methods unsuited for their study.
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"prediction" & "control" codewords
for authoritarianism
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peculiarites of social/psychological
phenomena
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alternatives to scientism
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versehen -- interpretive
understanding
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neo-Marxism
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peculiarities of social/psychological
phenomena
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self-referentiality
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product of voluntary acts: c.f.
verstehen
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self-fulfilling prophetic character
of predictions
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normativity: value ladenness
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Thales: "the first philosopher"
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question: What is it all made of?
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answer: Water!
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Auguste Compte: positivism
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Positivism
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the light of postitive scientific
knowledge
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replaces darkness of mythothological
speculation
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as science marches on
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Eliminativism
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Eliminativist Critique of folk
psychology (FP)
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offers explanations of behavior
competing with neuroscienfic explanations of the same phenomena
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proven scientific inadequacy of
FP
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Conceptual unsuitablity of FP as
science
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supposition of free will at odds
with quest for causal laws & smacks of teleology
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subjectivity of experience
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opacity of cognitive attitudes
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Critique of Eliminativism
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self-refuting
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over-reaching of mythic proportions
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